Agora: Very Fast Growth Video Platform, Still Cheap

Sep. 02, 2020 10:40 AM ETAgora, Inc. (API) StockAPI16 Comments

Summary

  • Agora's H2 2020 is likely to grow at 50% to 65% revenue growth rates.
  • Although the stock trades at 42x forward sales, Agora is already generating free cash flow.
  • This stock is very compelling and cheaper than it first appears on the surface.
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Investment Thesis

Agora (NASDAQ:API) is a very rapidly growing video platform. It benefited from a COVID spike, but looking ahead it's still guiding for a very respectable growth rate in the mid to high 50% range.

Although the stock trades at 42x forward sales, it is already generating a small amount of free cash flow.

Also, given its very high net expansion rate of approximately 130% expected in H2 2020, this stock is actually cheaper than it first appears on the surface.

Part 1: Building a 1-to-many iOS video app with Agora - Agora.io

Source

Agora's Highly Compelling Video Platform; Not Zoom

Agora is different from Zoom (ZM).

Zoom continues to grow at such a fast pace which only solidifies the bullish thesis that there is a huge demand for video as a medium of communication. Zoom is so powerful that it's now a household 'verb'.

However, Agora is different from Zoom. Zoom is its own platform. The difference with Agora is that gets embedded in user's platform. In fact, one notable difference is that with Agora there is no need to switch between apps.

What's more, Agora is hugely scalable. The focus for Agora is on app developers. Again, even though Zoom is hugely successful, Agora is not attempting to compete with Zoom. Agora's closest competitor is arguably Twilio (TWLO), the messaging platform.

As an aside, its worth noting that Twilio's shareholders are incredibly passionate about Twilio its impressive dollar-based net expansion rate of 132%.

And although Twilio's is strong, Agora's clocked up 183% dollar-based net expansion rate in Q2 2020.

Source

To repeat, Zoom is focused on masses and not classes. As the demand increasingly fragments, Zoom will not be able to cater to every need. Accordingly, the focus on Agora is on app developers more than consumers.

Developers can use Agora as a low-cost real-time video engagement platform that

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This article was written by

Michael Wiggins De Oliveira is an inflection investor. This means buying into cheap companies at the moment when their narrative is changing and the business is on a path toward becoming significantly more profitable over the next year.

With a focus on tech and “the Great Energy Transition (including uranium)”, Michael runs a concentrated portfolio with approximately 15 to 20 stocks and an average holding period of 18 months.

Through his 10+ years analyzing countless companies, Michael has accumulated outstanding professional experience in tech and energy and a following of over 40K on Seeking Alpha.

Michael is the leader of the Investing Group Deep Value Returns.

Features of the group include: Insights through his concentrated portfolio of value stocks, timely updates on stock picks, a weekly webinar for live advice, and "hand-holding" as-needed for new and experienced investors alike. Deep Value Returns also has an active, vibrant, and kind community easily accessible via chat.

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Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in API over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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