Vanguard Real Estate ETF: A Prudent Way To Hedge Impending Inflation

Brant Munro, CFA
2.4K Followers

Summary

  • The largest holdings are data centre companies which have been minimally impacted by COVID-19.
  • The spread between the dividend yield and 10-year U.S. government bond is at all-time highs.
  • VNQ is highly responsive to inflation, which is to be expected over the coming years with quantitative easing.

Introduction

I have written a few articles on various REITs in recent weeks, such as Chartwell Retirement Residences (OTC:CWSRF) and Boardwalk REIT (OTCPK:BOWFF). I have always had an interest in the sector for the simple the joys of being a landlord and the steady income stream without having many of the drawbacks, such as dealing with careless tenants or repairs and maintenance. My interest has been further awakened in the depths of the current crisis with the flooding of liquidity into financial markets, in which I believe REITs will be a large beneficiary. The consequence of this quantitative easing is that yields on all government securities have fallen drastically, with the 10-year U.S. government bond yield falling from 1.8% in January 2020 to 0.58% as of July 2020. Investing at meagre yields like this is not enough to even offset inflation expectations going forward, which could even be modest at best. Although not all REITs are created equal, many have the ability to provide a stable distribution as a result of stable cash flows through implementation of long-term leases.

The Vanguard Real Estate ETF (NYSEARCA:VNQ) provides a means to hedge inflation with a 4% yield at present and provides a strongly diversified basket of REITs to protect your wealth versus pinning your hopes on one or a few. I liken it to sticking a bowl of popcorn kernels in the microwave and betting that kernels will pop versus making bets on which particular kernels will pop.

Investment Thesis

Almost the majority of holdings are specialized REITs, which are REITs that own properties that don’t fit within the other REIT sectors. Examples of properties owned by specialty REITs include movie theatres, casinos, farmland and outdoor advertising sites.

(Source: Vanguard)

As you can see below, the largest holdings are actually data centres, such as

This article was written by

2.4K Followers
I am always on the lookout for businesses that have a strong cash generating ability and a strong enough competitive advantage that I can be sure they will be around for the next decade, and at a price where I can be as sure as possible that I can achieve at least 15 percent annualized returns, or else companies whose price is deeply discounted from their asset base as long as its highly marketable. Im not one to shy away from takeover targets, provided the target still has a strong business that I would be okay with owning it even if the takeover did not go through. Since I began investing on my own 3 years ago I have achieved an annualized time weighted return of about 16 percent, and plan to continue to beat that hurdle as I learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in SPG, WELL over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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