Budweiser APAC: Asia's Largest Beer Company Is A Play On Premiumization

Summary

  • Budweiser APAC is the largest beer company in Asia Pacific, and it is a play on the premumization trend in the region's beer markets.
  • A potential re-rating catalyst for the stock will be the utilization of its $1.3 billion cash balance for future acquisitions, particularly in Southeast Asia.
  • On the flip side, the nightlife channel in China might take a longer-than-expected time to recover, and Budweiser APAC faces stiff competition from the second largest player Hite Jinro in Korea.
  • Budweiser APAC trades at 37.0 times consensus forward FY 2021 P/E, and it offers a consensus forward FY 2021 dividend yield of 0.8%.
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Elevator Pitch

I assign a Neutral rating to Hong Kong-listed Asia Pacific brewer Budweiser Brewing Company APAC Limited (OTCPK:BDWBF) (OTCPK:BDWBY) [1876:HK] or Budweiser APAC.

Budweiser APAC is the largest beer company in Asia Pacific, and it is a play on the premumization trend in the region's beer markets. A potential re-rating catalyst for the stock will be the utilization of its $1.3 billion cash balance for future acquisitions, particularly in Southeast Asia.

However, the nightlife channel in China might take a longer-than-expected time to recover, and Budweiser APAC faces stiff competition from the second largest player Hite Jinro in Korea. Also, Budweiser APAC is valued by the market at a premium to its peers. Budweiser APAC trades at 37.0 times consensus forward FY 2021 P/E, and it offers a consensus forward FY 2021 dividend yield of 0.8%. As such, I see a Neutral rating for Budweiser APAC as justified.

Readers have the option of trading in Budweiser APAC shares listed either on the Over-The-Counter Bulletin Board/OTCBB as ADRs with the tickers BDWBF and BDWBY, or on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange with the ticker 1876:HK. For those shares listed as ADRs on the OTCBB, note that liquidity is low and bid/ask spreads are wide.

For those shares listed in Hong Kong, there are limited risks associated with buying or selling the shares in terms of trade execution, given that the Hong Kong Stock Exchange is one of the major stock exchanges that is internationally recognized, and there is sufficient trading liquidity. Average daily trading value for the past three months exceeds $30 million, and market capitalization is above $42 billion, which is comparable to the majority of stocks traded on the US stock exchanges.

Institutional investors which own Budweiser APAC shares listed in Hong Kong include Invesco Advisers, Vontobel Asset Management, The

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This article was written by

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The Value Pendulum is an Asian equity market specialist with over a decade of experience on both the buy and sell sides.

He is the author of the investing group Asia Value & Moat Stocks, providing ideas for value investors seeking investment opportunities listed in Asia, with a particular focus on the Hong Kong market. He hunts for deep value balance sheet bargains and wide moat stocks and provides a range of watch lists with monthly updates within his investing group.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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