Far-UVC Could Flip The Switch For Growth At Acuity Brands

Sep. 18, 2020 11:59 AM ETAcuity Inc. (AYI) StockPHPPY, AYI4 Comments
Stephen Simpson
20.39K Followers

Summary

  • Although non-resi construction activity has held up better than expected, COVID-19 is still hitting AYI, pushing fiscal Q3 revenue down 20% and likely pushing Q4 down by a mid-teens percentage.
  • The non-residential new-build pipeline is looking weak, and I am concerned that Acuity will see lower levels of market demand in 2021 and 2022.
  • Far-UVC is a significant wildcard. The technology has been shown to safely kill viruses (like SARS-CoV-2), and Acuity has partnered with Ushio to offer Far-UVC systems later this year.
  • Widespread adoption of Far-UVC lighting could create a large retrofit revenue opportunity for Acuity, but the technology is not yet widely known and may amount to little or nothing for Acuity's shareholders.
  • Acuity still looks undervalued on its core business (excluding any potential upside from Far-UVC), but lighting is an unpopular business and without Far-UVC catching on, this could be a value trap.

The going remains tough for Acuity Brands (NYSE:AYI). While I don’t really love the business, I thought back in January that the valuation seemed low relative to even modest (low single-digit) long-term growth assumptions, but the shares have since underperformed the industrial group, perhaps due to the company’s high exposure to non-residential new-build construction and relatively little exposure to green building retrofits, as the LED upgrade cycle is largely mature.

Now there’s a new potential driver to consider – Far-UVC lighting as a retrofit product for building hygiene. Unlike conventional UVC systems, Far-UVC lighting systems can kill viruses, including SARS-CoV-2, but are still safe to use while the building is occupied. Given the sheer installed base for potential retrofits, this could provide an important spark to Acuity’s story in calendar 2021 – and the stock really could use a spark, as although it continues to look undervalued on undemanding expectations, the Street has shown it really isn’t interested in commercial lighting businesses.

Plan C?

UVC lighting has been used for some time to disinfect spaces, but its use has largely been confined to areas like healthcare or mass transit where the lighting can be used at “off times” to disinfect unoccupied areas – while UVC is an effective pathogen-killer, it is also dangerous to humans, animals, and plants, with potential damage to skin, eyes, and other systems.

Recent tests of Far-UVC lighting, which operates at 207-222nm versus most UVC lights which operate at 254nm, have shown some promising results. While testing conducted by Signify (OTCPK:PHPPY) and Boston University that showed UVC could kill SARS-CoV-2 wasn’t so surprising (it was already known that UVC can kill coronaviruses), Columbia University has come out with research showing that not only can Far-UVC effectively kill cornonaviruses, it can do so without harming

This article was written by

20.39K Followers
Stephen Simpson is a freelance financial writer and investor.Spent close to 15 years on the Street (sell-side, buy-side, equities, bonds).

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About AYI Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Market Cap
PE
Yield
Rev Growth (YoY)
Short Interest
Prev. Close
Compare to Peers

More on AYI

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
AYI
--