Oneok Is Up 55% This Year, Still Yields 9% And Has Further Upside

Dec. 16, 2020 11:27 AM ETONEOK, Inc. (OKE) StockOKE38 Comments

Summary

  • In the past 12 months, I've suggested buying OKE 3 times.
  • Twice, this turned out to be a good idea, the other time, I'm still waiting on.
  • Oneok's risk profile has decreased dramatically since Q2, yet the price has only started recovering.

Written by Robert Kovacs

Introduction

In the past I have written two articles on Oneok (NYSE:OKE).

The first makes me look stupid. In December 2019, I claimed that “I believe all dividend investors should purchase OKE at current prices (of $70). One year later, the stock is at $40.

The only solace, is that reading through the comments once again, most seemed to agree with me.

The second time I wrote on OKE was in May, when the stock was trading at $31. Do you remember how bleak the outlook was in early May? I do. Yet I suggested that “I believe OKE will continue to pay its dividend, and that the 12% yield is well worth the risk.”

This time around, readers mostly didn’t agree.

We then didn’t really mention OKE at all, until Sam wrote one of our most popular Seeking Alpha articles, which was impressively well timed –although that wasn’t the point--, titled “Clean Energy Vs Oil & Gas: The biggest lie of 2020”.

At that point, OKE was trading at $29, and we decided to buy more. We also added more to our model All Weather Dividends portfolio.

Had an investor bought in equal amounts on each of those occasions, he would be down $3 on his average cost, or up somewhat after dividends.

But 2 out of 3 good calls isn’t that great.

I am now writing this article, because I believe that by December 2021, even my first prediction, which was made a year ago, will look like a smart investment.

An investment grade, diversified company.

Investors have been worried about OKE’s outlook. Yet when S&P reviewed the company, they gave the company a stable BBB investment grade rating. In May, Moody’s followed suit giving a Baa3 stable rating. Finally, in November, Fitch updated its rating, maintaining a triple B.

This article was written by

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Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long OKE. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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