The Trends Fueling NXP Growth

Jan. 15, 2021 11:57 AM ETNXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) Stock8 Comments
Bashar Issa profile picture
Bashar Issa
5.77K Followers

Summary

  • NXP provides investors with an opportunity to gain exposure to digitalization trends that are currently shaping the automotive and telecommunications industries.
  • At current prices, the company is trading at the lower-end of the industry's price multiples.
  • NXP has an above-average leverage and below-average gross margin compared to its peers, which might explain its low price multiples.

NXP Semiconductors (NASDAQ:NXPI) designs and manufactures semiconductors that are used in cars, telecommunication equipment, and mobiles. The technological trends such as electrification and autonomous driving in the automotive industry bode well to NXP's revenue growth. Similarly, but to a lesser extent, is the upgrade to the 5G network.

The company seems undervalued, based on PE and EV to EBITDA ratios. The might be explained by above-average leverage and below-average profitability. Improvements in any of these fronts can support NXP's share price appreciation.

Industry overview

The current narrative fueling the semiconductor industry is about growth, consolidation, and more importantly, the rise of smaller players challenging the technological legacy of larger firms such as Intel (INTC). For example, a leading communication equipment manufacturer recently agreed to replace Intel's flagship 86x technology, which helped the company dominate the industry in the 1980s and 1990s, with Marvell's (MRVL) OCTEON processors, in all its product range. Equipment manufacturers are realizing that they can use the technologies of smaller firms at lower costs, and in many cases, superior results.

I don't claim to know the technical details of how semiconductors work. I understand, they are the small pieces inside our smartphones, laptops, and washing machines, that control the flow of data through logical "on/off" gates, to ensure the proper functioning of these appliances. Any device that has a computer code in it must have a semiconductor, and this includes not only what appears to be a smart device, but even the most mundane such as an alarm clock on a bed table, a hairdryer, or nowadays, a LED light bulb. The revenue growth of semiconductors thus depends on the growth in their end markets, the devices where these microchips live.

NXP's end-markets

The graph below shows NXP's end markets.

Source: Investors presentation

Automotive (47%)

Automotive makes

This article was written by

Bashar Issa profile picture
5.77K Followers
Bashar is a contributing writer at Seeking Alpha, focusing on Long/Short investment ideas, with a geographic focus in North America. Before that, Bashar worked at an Investment Fund in the United Kingdom. He has a Master's degree in Finance from the Queen Mary University of London and a Bachelor's degree in Economics from Middlesex University.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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