GoHealth: Buying Quality Insurance, Cheaply

Jan. 19, 2021 2:01 AM ETGoHealth, Inc. (GOCO) StockGOCO8 Comments

Summary

  • GoHealth acts as a health insurance marketplace to provide Medicare beneficiaries with the best options for coverage, quality of care, and cost.
  • High revenue growth and healthy LTV/CAC ratios indicate earnings potential should meaningfully improve going forward.
  • GOCO's ~30% share price decline offers investors an opportunity to own shares at a compelling discount.
  • Buy GOCO at 12x FY22 earnings.

GoHealth (NASDAQ:GOCO) had a rough IPO like most do and finished the year down to $10/share after tax-loss selling came in full swing. Additionally, some investors expressed concerns over GOCO's executive compensation package, which was approximately 93% of adjusted EBITDA, and that the health insurance marketplace industry is intensely competitive. While these concerns carry some merit, 2021 and 2022 appear to represent GoHealth's first period of significant growth at scale, which shows promise for long-term shareholders.

High Growth and Improving Margins

GoHealth appears to have a key advantage relative to the competition by applying AI and machine learning to help match its customers with the best insurance products available on the market. Without going into too much detail, that's a distinct advantage that GOCO has over its peers, including the likes of eHealth, Inc. (EHTH), for example. In 2020, GOCO also reported that it has access to 75% of the entire healthcare insurance market, a significant step up versus 25% in 2019. Additionally, management has bolstered its front-office to 1,500 sales/retention executives and ramped marketing spend in key areas to boost brand awareness and drive customer conversions. For those who have worries that such activity could lead to wasteful spend without healthy returns on revenue, I would suggest looking to the company's improving adjusted EBITDA margins, recently hitting ~32%.

GOCO EBITDA marginsSource: Q3 Earnings Call Presentation

Of course, executive compensation, interest expenses, and D&A are real expenses; however, they will inevitably shrink as a percentage of opex as the business scales and the company already appears to be hitting an inflection point on that front. The company's Q3 investor presentation summarizes key initiatives to drive sustained organic growth over the long-term:

GOCO

Source: Q3 Earnings Call Presentation

GoHealth appears to have been aggressively driving this collective, integrated structure of acquiring customers for about one

This article was written by

Equanimity Investing helps you focus on protecting your principal and thinking long-term with your investments. I'm long treasuries, select high-quality companies, and will never use margin. As a generalist, I cover multiple sectors with a dividend and non-dividend long-only stock strategy over a 5-10+ year investment horizon. I also cover macroeconomics regarding monetary policy and excessive debt levels globally.All articles/blogs are for informational and entertainment purposes only. Under no circumstances should any of these articles/blogs or any published information be interpreted as investment advice, or as an offer to buy/sell any financial security. Perform your own due diligence. I welcome comments and corrections of all kinds.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in GOCO over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About GOCO Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Market Cap
PE
Yield
Rev Growth (YoY)
Short Interest
Prev. Close
Compare to Peers

More on GOCO

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
GOCO
--