The Fourth Industrial Revolution: Desktop Metal Is Leading The Way

Jan. 22, 2021 11:43 AM ETDesktop Metal, Inc. (DM) StockDM64 Comments
Cameron Wetherby
298 Followers

Summary

  • 3D printing allows companies to mass produce high-quality, more efficient parts for a fraction of the cost of traditional manufacturing processes.
  • Desktop Metal boasts the most advanced 3D printing technology in the industry and is expected to grow revenues at a CAGR of 87% through 2025.
  • At a conservative EV/Revenue multiple of 10.0x 2025 estimated revenue, the stock is expected to grow at a CAGR of 13.3% through 2025.

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Desktop Metal (DM) is a leading 3D printing company poised to benefit from current manufacturing trends. Analysts expect the 3D printing industry to grow at a CAGR of 25% between 2025-2030. Among the different 3D printing processes available today, binder jetting is seen as the one technique that could transform manufacturing. Desktop Metal focuses mainly on this technique, and their Production system is the fastest 3D printer on the market designed for mass production. Analysts expect them to grow revenues at a CAGR of 87% through 2025.

The main risk is Desktop Metal's ability to withstand competition. Rival company ExOne (XONE) is a key competitor that also focuses on binder jet technology and once had the fastest 3D printer available. Other well-known companies with significant resources, such as HP (HPQ), have also entered the space, and the competition continues to rise.

Selective peers in industries currently trade at an EV/Revenue multiple of 9.0x. Based on a future EV/Revenue multiple of 10.0x for 2025 expected revenue, the stock would have a CAGR of 13.3% from current levels. These estimates do not consider any acquisitions or vertical integrations of profit pools, which are priorities for the company. We feel comfortable initiating a position with a long-term investment horizon.

What Can 3D Printing Be Used For? Here Are 10 Amazing Examples

Source: Forbes

3D Printing Technology

The fourth industrial revolution is upon us as 3D printing (additive manufacturing) has begun transforming the manufacturing process as we know it. 3D printing works by building a product layer by layer, depositing material in specific places based on a computer designed blueprint. Although this technology has been

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Analyst’s Disclosure: I am/we are long DM. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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