Crypto-Alerts: Bitcoin To $150K, GBTC To $160

Ryan Wilday
7.26K Followers

Summary

  • GBTC is a great way to get Bitcoin exposure in your brokerage accounts.
  • Just as we were watching for a Bitcoin Bottom, GBTC should be putting in a bottom as well.
  • Eventually, we see the current cyclical bull market taking GBTC to $160.

Produced by Ryan Wilday, along with Avi Gilburt

Over the last two weeks, we shared our point of view that Bitcoin was headed to $150K in this cyclical bull market. For many of our subscribers, they’d rather not engage retail Bitcoin exchanges for good reason. They are just not as stable as stock trading platforms, often going down when crypto volatility increases only slightly. Moreover, security on crypto exchanges requires much personal diligence.

GBTC to the Rescue

For those subscribers nervous about crypto exchanges, NYSEARCA:GBTC, the Bitcoin Trust Fund by Grayscale Investments, is a great alternative and one we cover with nearly the same detail as Bitcoin. It trades over the counter just like a stock and is available at most common brokerage platforms.

Grayscale Investments has become an important player in the crypto market. Due to being a trusted name in crypto custody, Grayscale has been a strong option for institutions wanting to gain Bitcoin exposure. In fact, it was reported in November that Grayscale held 2.69% of Bitcoin supply. Further, Grayscale appears to have a great relationship with the SEC. It does voluntary reporting to the SEC as an investment company, though it is not required to do so.

GBTC is also a great way to get crypto exposure into your IRA, in order to lighten the tax load.

Understanding GBTC Premium

First, you must recognize that GBTC is not an ETF. This means that Grayscale is not required to buy and sell shares in order to manage the NAV. Rather, it sells at a premium over the Bitcoin in the fund. Today it holds 0.00094825 Bitcoin per share and it declines slightly each quarter for management fees. As of close Friday, the premium closed at 5.6%. But in December it reached over 40%.

Premium in GBTC shares

This article was written by

7.26K Followers
Ryan Wilday has 20 years of experience trading stocks, futures, options, and forex. He has been trading crypto for over a decade, and has been a senior analyst covering cryptocurrencies at Elliott Wave Trader since 2017. He has seen many bull and bear cycles in crypto, and he works to identify major turns in the crypto market. He is also a regular speaker at the MoneyShow and other conferences. .

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long GBTC. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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