Recently an article in BioSpace said: "Although largely off the radar for the general public ... analyst Josh Schimmer with Evercore ISI, believes that the Novavax (NASDAQ:NVAX) vaccine is the “vaccine to beat,” with it showing “strong potency and unique tolerability.” Analysts at B. Riley and JP Morgan also recently said the Novavax vaccine is best-in-class. However, the mainstream media (including most of the financial media) and the market have not paid attention to the analysts.
One of the primary things I look for while investing are instances in which the reality of a company is significantly different from what the media and the market thinks the reality of it is. The disparity between perception and reality is often an opportunity to either buy or short the stock. The media and the market failed to see the correct reality of Novavax for the past two years and thus missed out on its 4,000% gain.
Members of Seeking Alpha who read articles by me and other authors, however, have minted small fortunes by following our buy recommendations on the stock. An investment of $30,000 in early 2020 would be worth over $1 million now. After missing the boat, both the media and the market continue to make the same mistake about the company and its Covid vaccine.
The broad news media and the financial news media regularly portray Pfizer (NYSE:PFE)/BioNTech (BNTX) and Moderna (MRNA) as having the two best Covid vaccines. As this article will describe in detail, the reality is that Novavax’s vaccine is the best in at least 12 important ways. The market currently reflects this inaccurate perception by valuing Moderna ~400% higher than Novavax and BioNTech ~80% higher.
While the Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna vaccines are similar overall, ultimately the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine has a slight lead over Moderna's for three