Eldorado Gold: This Gold Bearish Spell Is An Opportunity

Fun Trading
21.53K Followers

Summary

  • Revenues were $278.5 million, up from $191.87 million the same quarter a year earlier and slightly down sequentially.
  • The company announced fourth quarter gold production of 138,220 Au Oz for Q4.
  • I am using this bearish spell as an excellent opportunity to accumulate.

Source: Eldorado Presentation

Investment Thesis

Vancouver-based Eldorado Gold (NYSE:EGO) released its results for the fourth quarter and full-year 2020 on February 25, 2020.

The gold producer's operational results were impressive again, but it has been in free-fall since then. Eldorado Gold reached its 2020 guidance as it maneuvered through the coronavirus pandemic negative effects.

The issue is that gold is down sharply just in the last few weeks, and the gold mining sector is following the trend no matter what. In fact, the gold price is correcting from its August high and describes a perfect 10-year Cup & Handle pattern that I have explained many times on Seeking Alpha. We are now well into the bearish handle of this bullish pattern.

In my preceding article about the fourth quarter preliminary gold production, I wrote:

We are entering 2021, and it is time again to make some cautious predictions of stock's performance that have been a severe disappointment to many long term investors in 2020. 2020 offered everything we can imagine to set a stellar year, yet we are back to the $10s again.

Nothing has really changed, and EGO is back again in the $10s even after announcing the news of a groundbreaking agreement with Greece about the Skouries mine. What could do the trick?

The investment thesis is a little complicated now. Eldorado Gold is unquestionably a long-term investment candidate. The future growth is evident, and Greece's situation is now realistically solved with an agreement that should be ratified by the Greek government very soon. It is not the end of the process but an exciting beginning.

However, it is prudent to trade short-term regularly your long-term position. The gold sector is highly volatile and could turn ugly on short notice.

The recent drop in gold price reaching another

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This article was written by

21.53K Followers
Fun Trading is a retired engineer and independent investor. In addition to writing on investing in all aspects of gold, oil, and gas, he runs his own portfolio.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long EGO. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

I am accumulating now

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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