Urstadt Biddle Properties: A Quality Company But Correctly Priced For Now

True Orion
1.57K Followers

Summary

  • Strategically positioned in high income, high barrier to entry markets.
  • COVID19 pandemic is both a blessing and a curse with retail stores being hit while the migration rate into suburban areas increases.
  • Lower lease rates will continue to exist during the first half of 2021, which will affect returns.
  • Correctly valued company given the existing risks. No particular investment opportunity identified at these price levels at the moment.

In this article we will review Urstadt Biddle Properties Inc. (UBA, UBP) and we will try to assess whether it represents an investment opportunity at the present timing and within the current context.

Urstadt Biddle is a real estate investment trust owning and operating retail properties. Geographically, they are focused in the suburbs of Connecticut, New York, New Jersey and New Hampshire. More specifically, the company owns retail properties in high end submarkets within the areas mentioned above. According to their 2020 annual report, the median household income within a 3 mile radius from their properties is approximately 70% higher than the U.S average. In addition, 22% of the company's portfolio is located in districts ranked above the 95th percentile in the U.S., in terms of education and income, the so called "super zips".

According to the company, 99% of their tenants are open and operating based on October 31th 2020 data. As we can see in the graph presented below, there is some concentration of revenues generated from Grocery / Pharmacy / Warehouse properties which account for 26% of the total annual base rent. However, according to the company this property category, along with some others, reaching a total of 73% of the annual base rent, is characterized as internet resistant. This means that the already evolving progress of decentralization and the shift to online services which reduce the need for high class physical space cannot harm the majority of the company's revenues, at least directly.

Source: UBA FY 2020 annual report

We do tend to read company financial statements with some degree of skepticism and this is why we double checked this "internet resistant" label. Indeed, according to Fidelity Investments, consumer staples sector seems to be more resilient both to economic downturn and internet decentralization.

In our opinion, the

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1.57K Followers
True Orion is comprised of two notions. Orion, the ancient mythical hunter, and truth. The never ending pursuit for truth. This is my motto. I believe that knowledge is key to achieving oversized returns in a financial as well as in a personal level. As a private investor, with a real estate and technical analysis educational background and with more than 15 years of investing experience in the stock market, I can tell you that. Here in SA, I provide my readers with articles regarding specific stocks and/or market analysis. My main focus is in shipping, REITs and technical analysis but my views can expand to all areas. Megacaps (usually) leave me tremendously indifferent. The purpose of my articles is to express my ideas and get them tested by reality, while at the same time gain additional knowledge throughout the process. If you like my content, don't forget to follow me, like, share and comment.

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