ICLN: Clean Energy Is The Future And The Recent Sell-Off Is An Opportunity

Michael Fitzsimmons
21.98K Followers

Summary

  • The recent market rotation out of growth and into value has caused a sharp pull-back in the shares of clean energy ETFs.
  • As a result, investors who have yet to establish a position in the clean energy sector are now offered a much better price-entry point.
  • In this article, ICLN - the iShares Clean Energy ETF - will be analyzed and to see if it is a good option for investors.

Source: Enphase Energy

The iShares Global Clean Energy ETF (NASDAQ:ICLN) invests in companies that produce energy from wind, solar, and other renewable sources. Shares are down around 10% YTD as the rotation from growth to value has taken a toll on some of the high-valued stocks within the portfolio. The sector had benefited - in part - from enthusiasm due to a new US administration that is focused on clean energy as opposed to "making coal great again". It is clear the future growth in the electric power generation sector is all about wind, solar, and renewable energy. That being the case, the recent pull-back in clean energy ETFs is an opportunity investors should take a hard look at.

Investment Rationale

Source: EIA

As the graphic above shows, new US wind-turbine electric generating capacity was a record 14.2 GW last year - surpassing the previous record set back in 2012 by 1 GW. Wind now provides 8.4% of the US's total electricity generation capacity - including a whopping 58% of electric power generation capacity in Iowa and 43% in Kansas.

Going forward, Congress extended the wind production tax credit ("PTC") at 60% of the full tax credit ($18/KWh) through year-end 2021. Current estimates are for another 12.2 GW of additional wind capacity to be added to the US grid this year. That's down from last year's record, but still the third largest annual wind capacity addition in US history.

Meanwhile, US solar capacity is expected to grow from a still relatively small base and the EIA expects solar capacity to exceed wind capacity by 2040 as the largest source of renewable power in the United States. As the graphic below shows, renewables are expected to double from 21% of US electricity generation last year to 42% of total US power generation in 2050 - mostly due to

This article was written by

21.98K Followers
Michael Fitzsimmons is a retired electronics engineer and avid investor. He advises investors to construct a well-diversified portfolio built on a core foundation of a high-quality low-cost S&P500 fund. For investors who can tolerate short-term risks, he advises an over-weight position in the technology sector, which he believes is still in the early stages of a long-term secular bull-market. For dividend income, and as a 4th generation oil & gas man, Fitzsimmons suggests investors consider a position in large O&G companies that provide strong dividend income and dividend growth. Fitzsimmons' articles on portfolio management recommend a top-down capital allocation approach that is aligned with each individual investor's personal situation (i.e. age, retired/working, risk tolerance, income, net worth, goals, etc) and might include allocations into investment categories such as the S&P500, technology, dividend income, sector ETFs, growth, speculative growth, gold, and cash.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

I am an electronics engineer, not a CFA. The information and data presented in this article were obtained from company documents and/or sources believed to be reliable, but have not been independently verified. Therefore, the author cannot guarantee their accuracy. Please do your own research and contact a qualified investment advisor. I am not responsible for the investment decisions you make.

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