Ansys: Buy The Dip In This Engineering Simulation Platform

Mar. 16, 2021 1:57 PM ETANSYS, Inc. (ANSS) Stock, , , , , 14 Comments
Michael Fitzsimmons
21.98K Followers

Summary

  • Despite the impact of the global pandemic, Ansys posted very strong second-half 2020 revenue and earnings results.
  • Ansys continues to upgrade its simulation toolset to support emerging and growing markets like EVs, 5G, IoT, and 3-D design.
  • The company won awards from TSMC for its design and development work on that company's leading edge 3nm process technology and is working with Microsoft on the cloud.
  • Combined with the recent ~20% drop in the stock price as a result of the market rotation from growth to value, I am changing my rating on Ansys from Bearish To Bullish.

In my first article on leading engineering simulation software provider Ansys (NASDAQ:ANSS) last September, I found the company astonishingly overvalued and suggested investors wait for a significant pull-back before possibly initiating a position (see ANSS: Simulating Its Way To An Astonishing Valuation). Since then, Ansys has issued two strong EPS reports - including a dynamite Q4 beat of $0.41/share - and the stock has pulled back from $400 to $325 due to the market rotation from growth to value. The stock is now roughly where it was when my first review was published on Seeking Alpha last September (see chart below). As a result, and while acknowledging the stock is still highly valued, I am changing my view from Bearish to Bullish and advise technology investors consider buying the dip.

Investment Rationale

Ansys is arguably the global leader in engineering simulation software - supporting disciplines from fluid-dynamics, to electromagnetics, to aerospace, and a wide range of other scientific endeavors. The company has a strong presence in engineering colleges all around the world. Those engineers graduate and enter corporations and government agencies and bring their pro-Ansys bias with them because it is a tool platform they are already familiar with and know how to use.

The company was a first-move in the space and has been in business for ~50 years. Ansys has a proven record of being a value-added simulation tool during the design phase rather than building and testing prototypes. Ansys has been updating its simulation tool-set (organically and by acquisition) to support EVs, 5G, 3D-designs, IoT and even covid-19 (see graphic below) - just to name a few emerging and growing markets. That being the case, Ansys is helping its customers innovate faster, and reduce cycle times and risks while increasing quality.

Meanwhile, the company is aggressively moving to

This article was written by

21.98K Followers
Michael Fitzsimmons is a retired electronics engineer and avid investor. He advises investors to construct a well-diversified portfolio built on a core foundation of a high-quality low-cost S&P500 fund. For investors who can tolerate short-term risks, he advises an over-weight position in the technology sector, which he believes is still in the early stages of a long-term secular bull-market. For dividend income, and as a 4th generation oil & gas man, Fitzsimmons suggests investors consider a position in large O&G companies that provide strong dividend income and dividend growth. Fitzsimmons' articles on portfolio management recommend a top-down capital allocation approach that is aligned with each individual investor's personal situation (i.e. age, retired/working, risk tolerance, income, net worth, goals, etc) and might include allocations into investment categories such as the S&P500, technology, dividend income, sector ETFs, growth, speculative growth, gold, and cash.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

I am an electronics engineer, not a CFA. The information and data presented in this article were obtained from company documents and/or sources believed to be reliable, but have not been independently verified. Therefore, the author cannot guarantee their accuracy. Please do your own research and contact a qualified investment advisor. I am not responsible for the investment decisions you make.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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