DGRO: Great Long-Term Holding, Hesitant To Add Here

Summary

  • DGRO has been a part of my portfolio for a long time, and I have been generally pleased with the results.
  • History suggests companies that grow their dividends consistently outperform those that do not, in terms of stock performance, which supports buying a fund like DGRO.
  • Despite some bullish momentum, I remain concerned about equity valuations and the future outlook. As a result, I am buying very selectively, which makes me less optimistic about short-term performance.
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Main Thesis

The purpose of this article is to evaluate the iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF (NYSEARCA:DGRO) as an investment option. This has been a holding of mine for a while, and its 2021 performance has been impressive so far. Looking ahead, I see merit in holding on to DGRO here, as the fund holds some of the top performing large-cap companies. With a rising dividend stream and a discount to the market, in terms of P/E, the fund seems like a smart choice.

However, I see reasons for caution as well. While DGRO has an objective different than mirroring the S&P 500, the two are still pretty correlated. Therefore, if broader markets do drop, DGRO's stock is likely to go down with it. Importantly, while DGRO has a lower P/E than the S&P 500, it is still quite high in isolation for the fund, which is an important indicator. Given the optimism we are seeing in the markets, valuations are getting increasingly stretched, and that is something that I feel will pressure U.S. equities going forward, including dividend funds like DGRO.

Background

First, a little background on DGRO. The fund is managed by BlackRock (BLK) and its objective is to "track the investment results of an index composed of U.S. equities with a history of consistently growing dividends." Currently, DGRO is trading at $48.56/share and yields 2.16% annually. I remained bullish on DGRO heading into Q4 last year, and that thesis has played out. While the broader market has continued to soar, DGRO has actually outpaced the S&P 500, as shown below:

Source: Seeking Alpha

Looking ahead, I will continue to hold DGRO, and I remained convinced this is a good product for a long-term hold. However, I also believe the market is getting a bit ahead of itself. This outlook weaves its way

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This article was written by

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I am a macro-focused investor with 15 years experience working in Financial Services. My niche is finding under-valued sectors and thematic ideas (metals, gold, crypto) at opportune entry points.

The first half of my career was in New York, working professionally after college (BS - Finance and D1 Men's Tennis). I relocated to North Carolina for graduate school (MBA) and employment. I am fortunate to spend half my time in Charlotte and half in Asheville.

I grew up in a middle-class family where a strong work ethic was mandatory (German/Slovak mother). I went to college with $10,000 to my name and I thought that was all the money in the world. Twenty years later, I'm fortunate enough to co-manage a seven-figure investment account with my wife, who is also an astute investor. I'm literally living proof that diligent saving and investing can be life changing.

I make a habit of keeping my portfolio up-to-date, which my followers can see here. I take pride in writing about funds, stocks, and sectors that I actually follow and invest in, and I believe my followers appreciate that approach.

Broad market: DIA, VOO, QQQM, RSP

Sectors/Non-US: XLE/IXC; VPU/IDU/BUI, FEZ, SCHF, EWC

Alternatives: Bitcoin, IAU (Gold)

Stocks: JPM, MCD, WMT, FLUT, MAA

Debt: BGT, Municipal bonds from North Carolina

I also contribute to the investing group CEF/ETF Income Laboratory where I specialize in macro analysis. Features of CEF/ETF Income Laboratory include: managed income portfolios (targeting safe and reliable ~8% yields) making use of high-yield opportunities in the CEF and ETF fund space. These are geared toward both active and passive investors of all experience levels. The vast majority of holdings are also monthly-payers, for faster compounding and steady income streams. Other features include 24/7 chat, and trade alerts. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long DGRO, VOO, JPM. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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