Philip Morris International Remains A Fair Buy At $90/Share

Kody's Dividends
10.03K Followers

Summary

  • Philip Morris International's adjusted diluted EPS (excluding currency) and FCF payout ratios of 85.8% and 80.0% in 2020 suggest that the dividend remains reasonably safe going forward.
  • Despite a 1.6% YoY decline in net organic revenues in 2020, Philip Morris International posted a 7.0% YoY increase in adjusted diluted EPS (excluding currency) during that time.
  • Philip Morris International's interest coverage ratio advanced from ~17.3 in 2019 to ~17.7 in 2020, and boasts A2, A, and A credit ratings from Moody's, S&P, and Fitch.
  • Adding to the case for an investment in Philip Morris International is the fact that the stock is trading at a 8% discount to fair value based on my inputs into the DCF model and DDM.
  • Between its 5.3% yield, 5.0-6.0% annual earnings growth, and 0.8% annual valuation multiple expansion, shares of Philip Morris International are primed to meet my 10% annual total return requirement over the next decade.

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Since the S&P 500 hit yet another record high to close out trading last week, it is becoming more difficult to find high-quality stocks that are trading at reasonable valuations.

As I've

This article was written by

10.03K Followers
Hi, my name is Kody. Aside from my articles here on Seeking Alpha, I am also a regular contributor to Sure Dividend, The Dividend Kings, and iREIT+Hoya Capital. I have been investing since September 2017 (age 20) and interested in dividend investing since about 2009.Since July 2018, I have ran Kody's Dividends. This is a blog that is documenting my journey towards financial independence using dividend growth investing as the means to transform the dream of financial independence into a reality. It's also the inspiration of my pseudonym here on Seeking Alpha.By God's grace, I owe everything to my blog for introducing me to the Seeking Alpha community as an analyst. That's my story and I hope you enjoy my work examining dividend growth stocks and the occasional growth stock!

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long PM, MO. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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