Green Plains Partners: Still Choked In 2021, But 2022 Could See A 10%+ Yield

DT Analysis
11K Followers

Summary

  • Green Plains Partners has seen a solid start to 2021 but they are still choked by their credit facility repayment terms for the remainder of the year.
  • Both their net income and their underlying operating cash flow increased modestly during the first quarter of 2021, thereby supporting finances.
  • They are producing ample free cash flow that in theory could easily send their current low distribution yield to a very high-double-digit level of 10% on current cost.
  • The only issue prohibiting this is making their choking credit facility repayment installments and even after these, it will still require refinancing or further asset divestitures before year-end.
  • Given this mixed situation, I believe that maintaining my neutral rating is appropriate for the time being but it could be upgraded in the future once liquidity risks ease.

Ethanol Biorefinery Aerial View
Photo by BanksPhotos/E+ via Getty Images

Introduction

The small and largely unknown ethanol-focused Green Plains Partners (GPP) as a Master Limited Partnership would appeal to income investors, if not for their currently low distribution yield of slightly under 4.00%. Whilst

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11K Followers
I primarily focus on income investments, as well as deep value and contrarian opportunities.

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