SJW Group: Outlook Remains Positive, But There Are Weather Pattern Issues

May 31, 2021 8:54 AM ETH2O America (HTO) StockHTO8 Comments
Robert Honeywill
8.16K Followers

Summary

  • SJW Group has exhibited volatility in earnings over the last four years.
  • Earnings for FY-2020 were barely above FY-2017, despite additional share issues and borrowings to fund acquisitions.
  • Based on analysts' estimates, the effect of acquisitions should start to be seen in EPS growth in future years.
  • Weather patterns have caused water supply security concerns for the company, raising the prospect of purchased water impacting margins.

Green Hills in Calero County Park, Santa Cruz mountains, south San Francisco bay area, California
Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock via Getty Images

Santa Cruz Mountains - source of surface water for SJW Group

Investment Thesis

Back in November 2020, I published article, "SJW Group: Continue To Wait And Watch". Since then, the share price has

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This article was written by

8.16K Followers
I am a retired accountant with a background in large mining projects, from feasibility to full-scale operation, large scale primary industry and food processing, commercialisation of university intellectual property, and consulting to small businesses, government departments and insolvency practitioners. I have gained a wealth of experience from having the extreme good fortune to work, in a cooperative environment, with so many people far more intelligent and smarter than me; from scientists and engineers with MBA qualifications, to University professors across a range of disciplines. Through the accident of mergers, acquisitions and dispositions, I held, at various times, financial controller positions within Utah International Inc, General Electric Inc, and BHP Billiton organizations. If I have a special skill, it is in methods of assessment of projects with long lives, where costs are front loaded and/or future revenues are subject to considerable degrees of uncertainty. In relation to stocks, I have a theory, using projections to calculate a present value per share is far less useful for a share buying decision, than using those same projections for calculating future value per share for determining potential exit value and rate of return.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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