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I have invested for 33 years. I only write articles for Seeking Alpha when I think that there is something timely to invest in. I look for opportunities in mispriced assets that are temporarily out of favor. These investments can be very short term to long term, depending on the primary trend of the market. ***Sentiment indicators factor significantly into my choices. I combine them with simple technical studies before I trade. The entry-point, its original trade date and time, has an enormous effect on the efficacy of an investment over time. ***I have found that determining and following the primary trend of the market (in all time frames) is the key to successful investing: to be bullish when it is time to be bullish, and bearish when it is time to be bearish. ***Fundamental analysis may be good training for the mind in assessing worthy companies, but it is not the primary reason that investors buy and sell stocks. ***Like captains who steer their boats across the waves of the sea, wise investors carefully observe the movements in the water beneath them. A favorable trend can literally pull you along.***In commenting on such timeliness, Shakespeare once wrote, "There is a tide in the affairs of men, Which (when) taken at the flood, leads on to fortune. Omitted, all the voyage of their life is bound in shallows and in miseries. On such a full sea are we now afloat. And we must take the current when it serves, or lose our ventures."
Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of ULCC either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
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