2 Yield Traps To Avoid And 2 High-Yield Aristocrats That Will Make Retirees Overjoyed

Sep. 15, 2021 11:35 PM ET, , , , 92 Comments

Summary

  • Our yield-starved world has created a minefield for income investors including dangerous yield traps like mREITs, BDCs, CEFs, ETNs, and low-quality dividend stocks.
  • AGNC is a case study in why mREITs are not suitable for most retirees, including a rapidly crashing dividend, -4% CAGR growth consensus, and just 3% inflation-adjusted long-term return potential.
  • TDS is one of the lowest quality dividend champions and has generated negative real returns over the last 29 years, despite a 47-year dividend growth streak.
  • Analysts are highly bullish about TDS's growth in the future, but historically 50% margins of error and negative growth for over 20 years, make it a potential value/yield trap to avoid.
  • In contrast, ABBV and ENB represent high-yield aristocrats trading at attractive or even anti-bubble valuations. 4.8% yielding AbbVie is trading at 8.9x 2023 patent cliff trough earnings; and Enbridge yields a very safe 6.6%, and management is guiding for 13+% CAGR long-term total returns, courtesy of a $10+ trillion long-term growth opportunity in green energy.
  • This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, The Dividend Kings. Learn More »

Background of the many american one hundred dollar banknotes
igorbondarenko/iStock via Getty Images

In our low-interest-rate world, the quest for yield has taken on a high priority for retirees.

After all, when a 60/40 stock/bond portfolio yields just 1.8% and Vanguard's "high-yield" ETF 2.7% then the mouth-watering yields many mREITs, CEFs, ETNs or defensive dividend

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This article was written by

115.74K Followers

Dividend Sensei (Adam Galas) is an Army veteran and stock analyst with 20+ years of market experience.

He is a founding author of the investing group The Dividend Kings which focuses on helping investors safeguard and grow their money in all market conditions through the highest-quality dividend investments. Dividend Sensei and the team of analysts (Brad Thomas, Justin Law, Nicholas Ward, Chuck Carnevale, and Sebastian Wolf) help members invest more intelligently in dividend stocks. Features include: 13 model portfolios, buy ideas, company research reports, and a thriving chat community for readers looking to learn how to invest more intelligently in dividend stocks. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of ABBV, ENB either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Dividend Kings own ABBV, and ENB in our portfolios.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
ABBV--
AbbVie Inc.
AGNC--
AGNC Investment Corp.
ENB--
Enbridge Inc.
TDS--
Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.
ENB:CA--
Enbridge Inc.

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