Obsidian Energy And Baytex Energy: 2 Canadian Oil And Gas Stocks That Could Double From Here

Summary

  • I discuss the reasons why the current supercycle in commodities may last longer than priced in.
  • I argue that Obsidian Energy and Baytex Energy could at least double if current macroeconomic trends continue, which seems very likely.
  • While the larger players shy away from increasing their production, OBE and BTEGF take advantage of their small sizes.
  • Despite dilution, both companies generate the same amount of EPS today as they did in 2014-15, when share prices were much higher.
  • In my view, the selected companies have tremendous growth potential if their programs to maximize EPS and return more value to shareholders continue to be implemented.

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Investment Thesis

In this article, I argue that Obsidian Energy Ltd (NYSE:OBE) and Baytex Energy Corp (BTEGF) could at least double if current macroeconomic trends continue, which seems very likely. My main argument is

This article was written by

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Daniel Sereda is chief investment analyst at a family office whose investments span continents and diverse asset classes. This requires him to navigate through a plethora of information on a daily basis. His expertise is in filtering this wealth of data to extract the most critical ideas. He runs the investing group Beyond the Wall Investing in which he provides access to the same information that institutional market participants prioritize in their analysis. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of OBE either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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