Annaly Preferred Shares: Inflation Hedge Workout Scenario With Expected 15.55% Return By March 2023

Ryan Bowen
1.25K Followers

Summary

  • Despite trading above par value of $25.00 not even a year ago, NLY.PG now trades at $22.68 despite no new risks to company.
  • May NLY stock offering with proceeds of $639m could liquidate NLY.PG. Another stock offering was announced days ago with estimated $659m in proceeds upon closing.
  • $9.6b in stock equity can be thought of as a 2390% margin of safety over NLY.PG’s liquidation value of $385.56m.
  • Fixed-to-floating feature starts on call date of 03/31/2023. Given rising interest rates I believe it's likely that Annaly Capital will redeem these shares near or around their call date yielding a 15.55% return with minimal risk.
  • If shares are not redeemed, you can lock in an estimated long term yield of 8.46%.

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Annaly Preferred Shares (NLY.PG) currently trade at $22.68 with a par value of $25.00 due to the broad market selloff and relatively low base yield. I believe that it’s likely this will trade at par value again by its

This article was written by

1.25K Followers
Joined the Seeking Alpha team as a Senior Editor in 2023. As part of being an Editor I no longer can write for the site but instead focus on ensuring we curate quality content.I am a self-taught value investor along the Graham and Dodd line. My first objective is to not lose money. I seek to do this by ensuring any position I enter has a discernible margin of safety. The second thing I aim for is above-average returns.Always open to questions and dialogue as I believe it only serves to improve us all.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of NLY.PG either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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