Will Utilities Sector ETFs Protect You Against A Sustained Bear Market Caused By Inflation?

Psycho Analyst
6.75K Followers

Summary

  • The Utilities Sector, represented by VPU and XLU, has held up far better than the S&P 500 and other popular Dividend ETFs.
  • Backtesting shows XLU outperformed the S&P 500 throughout the 2001-2011 "Lost Decade."
  • Inflation was not a factor in the 2000s, but now poses a huge threat to Dividend stocks in most other sectors while Utilities have a certain amount of protection.
  • However, a Utility Fund doesn't appear to have been an optimum investment in the inflationary 1973-1981 period. And Utility ETF's current yields are far lower now than they were then.

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When I first started investing in the late 1980s utilities were considered to be optimum income investments: safe "widows and orphans" income generators that could be relied on to provide income in good times and bad. ETFs indexing the Utility Sector have lived

This article was written by

6.75K Followers
Though I have done quite a few different things over the course of a long life, I am best known as a writer of bestselling books about business and health. My success has come because I am a very curious person who doesn't just follow the herd and trust whatever the experts tell us to believe. I do my own research. I collect the facts, look at them objectively, and draw my own conclusions. Over the years, I have been amazed at how much of what everybody "knows to be true" is based on poorly designed studies, many of them impossible to replicate. I approach Investing with the same open mind, challenging the orthodoxies that attract the herd, studying how things really work, and doing my best to come up with an approach, based on facts, that works for me and would appeal to those who find thinking worthwhile.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of VPU either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

I will keep holding my investment in VPU as it has a low cost basis and large gains in a taxable account. I would not invest new money into it. I am not a registered investment advisor. I am just an ordinary investor with a lot of curiosity who enjoys researching stocks and sharing what I find with others. Don't buy or sell any security you read about here before doing your own research and considering opposing views.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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