Walmart: Aiming For An Amazon-Like Valuation

Oct. 18, 2022 12:10 AM ETWalmart Inc. (WMT) StockAMZN, WMT3 Comments
Cavenagh Research
9.44K Followers

Summary

  • Walmart is aggressively expanding its e-commerce business and focusing on technology to expand margins.
  • Over the past 5 years, this segment has grown at a CAGR of about 33%. Meanwhile, Amazon tries to build a presence with physical stores.
  • In my opinion, Walmart is as much a technology business as Amazon.
  • Both Walmart and Amazon are exceptionally well managed businesses, with strong focus on operational efficiency and customer satisfaction.
  • WMRT trades at an EV/Sales of x0.7 and EV/EBIT of x17.7, as compared to x2.3 and x78 for AMZN respectively. I argue these multiples will eventually converge.
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Thesis

Walmart (NYSE:WMT) is aggressively expanding its e-commerce business and focusing on technology to expand margins. In my opinion, Walmart is poised to become Amazon's (AMZN) biggest competitor. Would Walmart thus merit also an Amazon-like valuation? Yes, I think so.

This article was written by

9.44K Followers
Experience as an investment analyst for a major BB-Bank, as well as private equity consultant for MBB. Currently working towards the CFA charter, having completed I&II. Passion for risk-assets (Growth, Contrarian, Emerging Market). Ex-colleague and close friend of Investor Express.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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