CF Industries: What Falling Gas Prices Mean For Your Investment

Summary

  • Natural gas prices are cratering as a result of high inventory levels, lower demand, and (relatively) warm weather.
  • Fertilizer production in Europe is rising, which should be bearish for N-based fertilizers and CF Industries.
  • However, CF Industries remains in a good spot as supply remains tight with new headwinds expected to emerge in the (winter) months.
  • CF shares remain attractively valued, which means I stick to my bullish outlook.
Biologische Ausbildung in der Pflanzenentwicklung. Rolle von Mineralstoffen im Pflanzenleben für die Entwicklung und Wachstum. Faktoren, die für den Prozess des Pflanzenwachstums und der Pflanzenentwicklung notwendig sind. Lebenszyklus der Anlage.

Galeanu Mihai/iStock via Getty Images

Introduction

Did the CF Industries (NYSE:CF) bull case die this month?

Since 2021, we have discussed the fertilizer bull case from every angle imaginable. Last month, I wrote an article titled: Why I Believe That CF Industries Will Double. Since 2021, the core

This article was written by

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Leo Nelissen is an analyst focusing on major economic developments related to supply chains, infrastructure, and commodities. He is a contributing author for iREIT®+HOYA Capital.

As a member of the iREIT®+HOYA Capital team, Leo aims to provide insightful analysis and actionable investment ideas, with a particular emphasis on dividend growth opportunities. Learn More.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of CF either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

This article serves the sole purpose of adding value to the research process. Always take care of your own risk management and asset allocation.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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