Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy

Nov. 08, 2022 7:56 PM ETTesla, Inc. (TSLA) StockTSLA66 Comments
Geoff Considine
5.7K Followers

Summary

  • TSLA is trading at 12-month lows.
  • Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.
  • The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month price target that is about 50% above the current share price.
  • The very high dispersion in the individual analyst price targets reduces confidence in the meaningfulness of the consensus.
  • The market-implied outlook (calculated from options prices) is slightly bullish through the end of 2022, but bearish to mid-2023.
Tesla Debuts Its New Crossover SUV Model, Tesla X

Justin Sullivan

Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) have fallen by 15% from the closing price on October 31st and are down 51.6% from the 12-month high closing price of $399.93 on January 3rd. The shares are currently trading at 12-month lows. The drop

This article was written by

5.7K Followers
Geoff has worked in quantitative finance for more than twenty years. Before entering finance, Geoff was a research scientist for NASA. Geoff holds a PhD in Atmospheric Science from the University of Colorado - Boulder and a BS in Physics from Georgia Tech. Neither Geoff Considine nor Quantext (Geoff's company) are investment advisors. Nothing in any commentary here on Seeking Alpha or elsewhere shall be regarded as advice.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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