PFF: Preferred Stocks Could Suffer Worse Declines In 2023 As Banking Risks Mount

Harrison Schwartz
16.38K Followers

Summary

  • This year, preferred equities have lost moderate value as higher interest rates have lowered their present value.
  • With real interest rates falling and inflation moderating, preferred equity funds like PFF should not continue to lose value from higher interest rates.
  • 70% of PFF's assets are concentrated in the financial sector as recession risks mount.
  • PFF's most significant risk is a large increase in credit risk spreads, likely stemming from a sharp decrease in banks' financial stability.
  • With inflation elevated, investors should not bet on the Federal Reserve bailing out the market again in 2023.
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The preferred equity market has had a challenging year, with top preferred funds like iShares Preferred and Income Securities ETF (NASDAQ:PFF) erasing ~18.5% of their value YTD. That loss is nearly four years of the ETF's 2021 dividend yield. Many preferred equities

This article was written by

16.38K Followers
Harrison is a financial analyst who has been writing on Seeking Alpha since 2018 and has closely followed the market for over a decade. He has professional experience in the private equity, real estate, and economic research industry. Harrison also has an academic background in financial econometrics, economic forecasting, and global monetary economics.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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