Tesla: Margin Pressure Could Lead To Lower Valuation

Dec. 22, 2022 3:03 AM ETTesla, Inc. (TSLA) Stock, , , 151 Comments
The Outsider
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Summary

  • Tesla has cut prices of the Model 3 and Model Y in China, due to demand issues, which is negative for its gross margin.
  • Pressure on gross margins is more structural than cyclical, impacting negatively its valuation.
  • While its shares are no longer overvalued, there isn’t no margin of safety at current levels.

Tesla Shanghai Gigafactory

Xiaolu Chu

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is currently fairly valued after its share price correction suffered in recent months, but to become a buyer, a margin of safety is required and further downside may exist if gross margin continues to decrease

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This article was written by

3.24K Followers
From my academic training, Mathematics, I intend to focus on the quantitative study, basing my analysis on historical data, bearing in mind my position of "Outsider". I invest with a long-term perspective in industries/themes that have secular growth prospects and should deliver strong returns in a time frame of 10-15 years. Currently, I'm invested in Digital Payments/Fintech, Semiconductors, 5G/IoT/Big Data, Electric Vehicles, and the Metaverse.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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