Invitation Homes: Buying The Dip

Weighing Machine
3.31K Followers

Summary

  • Invitation Homes shares have fallen during the past year despite strong fundamentals.
  • Demand for single family home rentals remains strong as more would-be homebuyers are hamstrung by higher mortgage rates stimulating rental demand.
  • Even in a slowing economy, Invitation Homes is poised for continued NOI growth as in-place rents are below market with a loss-to-lease of ~10% as of 3Q22.
  • Trading at an implied valuation of $300,000 per home, Invitation Homes trades at a 25% discount to the median US home price and a 5.6% implied cap rate with a 3% dividend yield.

California for rent real estate sign

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Invitation Homes (NYSE:INVH) shares have declined 35% over the past year, underperforming the broader REIT index/ETF (VNQ). While concerns about single family home values and rising interest rates have led investors to sell Invitation shares, I

This article was written by

3.31K Followers
Former global buyside analyst/PM doing fundamental research for over a decade (2001-2012). Long term (5 year) time horizon when investing.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of INVH either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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