Downgrading Sibanye Stillwater To A Hold Amid Rising Risk Premiums

Summary

  • Sibanye Stillwater Limited misfortunes seem endless as additional obstacles have slowed its PGM production. Moreover, exogenous features are intensifying.
  • Although we anticipate higher PGM prices and a sector-based recovery, we have decided to exclude Sibanye from the pack as its stock is in vulnerable territory.
  • Value can be unlocked at Keliber with a potential IRR of 27%, and Sibanye's stake in DRDGOLD is paying dividends.
  • Nevertheless, a high country risk premium, an undesirable forward book value, and continuous internal obstacles lend us various reasons to downgrade Sibanye Stillwater Limited stock.

Sibanye Driefontein Gold 5 Shaft

THEGIFT777

In spite of a minor recovery among South African Platinum group metals ("PGM") stocks, Sibanye Stillwater Limited (NYSE:SBSW) fortunes have continued to erode as it has experienced additional setbacks within its U.S. PGM segment and ongoing external pressure

Looking for structured portfolio ideas? Members of The Factor Investing Hub receive access to advanced asset pricing models. Learn More >>>

This article was written by

Pearl Gray is a proprietary investment fund and independent market research firm specialising in systematic analysis.Our latest work on SA primarily covers: Bonds, Preferreds, REITs, with an occasional drift.Primary Sectors: Financials and Real Estate.Mission: To discover actionable total return ideas at the nexus of rigorous academic theories, practical experience, and common sense.Kindly note that our published content is dispensed as Independent Analysis and Doesn't Constitute Financial Advice. For any content-related concerns, contact our Head of Research: Steve Booyens, CFA or leave a message in the comments section.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of SBSW either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Our long position in SBSW is not newly initiated, it is maintained to avoid unrealized losses. Our current outlook on SBSW and our trading of the stock is aligned.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About SBSW Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Market Cap
PE
Yield
Rev Growth (YoY)
Short Interest
Prev. Close
Compare to Peers

More on SBSW

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
SBSW
--