The Children's Place: The Right Place For A Retail Turnaround

The Bulls Bay
444 Followers

Summary

  • The Children's Place is undervalued, and we expect improved quarterly results beginning in Q3-F23, with significant catalysts set to jumpstart earnings growth and re-rate the shares higher.
  • Despite a challenging F2022 with bloated inventories and higher costs, an increased credit facility, streamlined operations, and insider buying suggest PLCE is on the cusp of a turnaround.
  • Lower freight and cotton costs will generate earnings growth in 2H:F23, while right-sizing inventory will unlock working capital for free cash flow.
  • At 8x our F2024 adjusted EPS estimate, PLCE would trade at $48, representing 80% upside.

Girl child, choice or change clothes in fashion brand retail store shopping sale happy for buying decision at mall. Smile, happiness and excited young kid customer choose designer clothing dress shop

PeopleImages/iStock via Getty Images

Investment Thesis

The Children's Place (NASDAQ:PLCE) is undervalued and will continue to re-rate higher, as quarterly results materially improve beginning in Q3-F23. Shares sold off over the past year, as F2022 and early F2023 (Q1-F23 and expected Q2-F23) results were

This article was written by

444 Followers
The Bulls Bay is the founder and portfolio manager of a family office. Previously, he was a sell-side equity research analyst covering consumer/retail and later a senior analyst at a long/short, special situations hedge fund. He is particularly attracted to value, deep value, and special situations equities across industries, while specializing in consumer/retail. In addition, The Bulls Bay sells covered calls as an opportunistic options strategy.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of PLCE either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About PLCE Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Market Cap
PE
Yield
Rev Growth (YoY)
Short Interest
Prev. Close
Compare to Peers

More on PLCE

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
PLCE
--