SentinelOne: Takeover Rumors May Mean The Bull Case Is Dead

Aug. 22, 2023 9:13 AM ETSentinelOne, Inc. (S) StockCRWD, S3 Comments
Richard Durant
8.84K Followers

Summary

  • Increased competition has led to doubt regarding SentinelOne's viability as a standalone company in recent quarters.
  • SentinelOne is rumored to be considering a sale, although little detail is available at the moment.
  • While this has provided a boost to the stock price, it likely implies the business is struggling.
  • Despite the stock appearing attractively priced relative to peers, there could be substantial downside if second quarter results are poor.

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SentinelOne's (NYSE:S) stock has moved modestly higher on the back of takeover rumors. While there is currently little information available, this is not particularly surprising, due to both the company's valuation and technology. A firm offer could still drive the stock significantly

This article was written by

8.84K Followers
Richard Durant is the leader of Narweena, an asset manager focused on finding market dislocations that are the result of a poor understanding of a businesses long-term prospects. Narweena believes that excess risk adjusted returns can be achieved by identifying businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets with barriers to entry. Narweena’s research process is focused on company and industry fundamentals with the goal of uncovering unique insights. Narweena has a high risk appetite and a long-term horizon, in pursuit of stocks that are deeply undervalued. Coverage tilts towards smaller cap stocks and markets where competitive advantages are not obvious.Investments are driven by a belief that an aging population with low population growth and stagnating productivity growth will create a different opportunity set to what has worked in the past. Many industries are likely to face stagnation or secular decline, which counter-intuitively may improve business performance if competition decreases. Conversely, other businesses are likely to face rising costs and diseconomies of scale. In addition, economies are becoming increasingly dominated by asset light businesses, and the need for infrastructure investments is declining over time. As a result, a large pool of capital is chasing a limited set of investment opportunities, which is driving up asset prices and compressing risk premia over time.Durant has undergraduate degrees in engineering and finance from the University of Adelaide (Honors) and an MBA from Nanyang Technological University (Dean’s Honors List). He has also passed the CFA exams.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of S, CRWD either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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