USFR: Keeping An Eye On The Exit (Downgrade To Hold)

Macrotips Trading
5.98K Followers

Summary

  • The Federal Reserve has paused its rate hikes, indicating that short-term interest rates may have peaked.
  • Market expectations suggest the first rate cut may occur in mid-2024, with three cuts expected by the end of 2024.
  • I plan to switch treasury bill holdings into 2-year notes in anticipation of possible economic weakness and a cut in Fed Funds rates.

A exit sign on a white wall

Robin Gentry

As someone who holds roughly 30% of my investment portfolio in floating rate treasury securities like the WisdomTree Floating Rate Treasury Fund ETF (NYSEARCA:USFR) and the iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF (SGOV), I pay

This article was written by

5.98K Followers
Author of the Macro Trends & Inflection Points Newsletter. I spent 5 years as a co-founder and hedge fund CIO / manager. Before that, I was a hedge fund analyst/portfolio manager at a leading Canadian alternative asset manager. I write articles as part of my own due diligence on the stocks that I find interesting.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of SGOV, USFR either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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