Petrobras: The Sell-Off Provides Opportunity

Summary

  • In recent weeks, Petrobras's momentum has weakened, and at the moment, it's trading 14% off-high after a wave of analyst downgrades followed dividend frustration.
  • PBR delivered strong financial performance last year with the second-highest EBITDA ($52.4 billion), operational cash flow ($43.2 billion), and net profit ($24.9 billion) in history.
  • The market is expecting a further correction in the company's financials, but this may be already reflected in its forwarding valuation multiples.
  • Despite risks, I think Petrobras is still undervalued and presents a buying opportunity with double-digit percentage upside potential.
  • Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Beyond the Wall Investing get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Learn More »

Petrobras oil company headquarters building during dusk seen from below along with other office buildings

simonmayer

Intro & Thesis

Petrobras (NYSE:PBR) (NYSE:PBR.A) stock, or Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. stock, has a very volatile market trading history: In the last 5 years, it lost up to 75% of its peak (during the COVID crisis), but then systematically restored all lost gains

This article was written by

12.81K Followers
Daniel Sereda is chief investment analyst at a family office whose investments span continents and diverse asset classes. This requires him to navigate through a plethora of information on a daily basis. His expertise is in filtering this wealth of data to extract the most critical ideas. He runs the investing group Beyond the Wall Investing in which he provides access to the same information that institutional market participants prioritize in their analysis. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in PBR, PBR.A over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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