Axcelis: Investor Day Lacked Positive Surprises, Downgrading

Dynamis Cap
123 Followers
(9min)

Summary

  • Axcelis dominates the Ion Implanter industry and is entering a positive revision cycle.
  • The company positively pre-announced at the July 9th Investor Day and provided 2027 EPS targets 10% ahead of mine.
  • Since Mid-April, NTM P/E gained 9 turns to 23x, above the 5y average of 19.6x. Investors are optimistic.
  • Long-term and short-term valuation measures leave too little upside. Downgraded to Hold.
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marrio31

Thesis

Axcelis (NASDAQ: ACLS) is the leading provider of Ion Implant tools, with its Purion line. After suffering from poor earnings revisions trends, concerns over China exposure, and fears of Silicon Carbide supply glut, multiples shrank from Aug-23. We felt this overdone and saw an

This article was written by

123 Followers
Dynamis is a former portfolio manager with 15 years of investing experience. He started in the industry focusing on TMT stocks, first in Developed Markets, then Globally. He went on to manage global equities portfolios, with multiple sector exposures. He invests mostly in Software, Semiconductors, Video Games, and opportunistically outside of Tech. Long-term investments use a quality growth lens. Short-term investments focus on technicals, estimate revisions and valuation.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Short position through short-selling of the stock, or purchase of put options or similar derivatives in ACLS over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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