Rocky Brands' Q3 Was Not As Bad As The Market Reaction, The Stock Is Now A Buy

Oct. 31, 2024 7:03 PM ETRocky Brands, Inc. (RCKY) Stock3 Comments
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Quipus Capital
1.36K Followers
(10min)

Summary

  • Rocky Brands, Inc. reported Q3 2024 results today, with revenues down YoY, and more challenged margins.
  • This reversed a trend of revenues growing (adjusted for non-recurring factors) and operating margins growing, in line with deleveraging financially.
  • Rocky is down 40% since I wrote a Hold article on the name in July 2024. The stock now offers a yield of 16% on projected earnings at 9% margins.
  • If we model lower margins, maybe 7%, the yield is still ok, at 11%, but now as attractive.
  • I think Rocky is attractive on a speculative basis, posed on a continued recovery, and not so challenging end-markets.

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Rocky Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:RCKY) reported Q3 2024 results today, with revenues down YoY, and more challenged margins. This changed its trend of revenues growing (adjusted for non-recurring factors) and operating margins growing, in line with deleveraging financially. The change in trend

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Long-only investment, evaluating companies from an operational, buy-and-hold perspective.Quipus Capital does not focus on market-driven dynamics and future price action. Instead, our articles focus on operational aspects, understanding the long-term earnings power of companies, the competitive dynamics of the industries where they participate, and buying companies that we would like to hold independently of how the price moves in the future. Most QC calls will be holds, and that is by design. Only a very small fraction of companies should be a buy at any point in time. However, hold articles provide important information for future investors and a healthy dose of skepticism to a relatively bullish-biased market.Disclaimer: All of the author's articles are written on an "as is" basis and without warranty. They represent the author's opinion only and in no way constitute professional investment advice. It is the responsibility of the reader to conduct their due diligence and seek investment advice from a licensed professional before making any investment decisions. The author disclaims all liability for any actions taken based on the information contained in any articles published.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in RCKY over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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