Redfin Corporation Is (Still) Troubled

Patrick Doyle
7.28K Followers
(8min)

Summary

  • Redfin remains a troubled investment, with a 26.3% stock decline since my last review and no profits in its 10-year history.
  • Despite revenue and gross profit increases, net income worsened by 20%, and the capital structure deteriorated with increased share count and reduced cash.
  • The market's optimistic valuation of $1.12 per $1 of sales is excessive, especially given Redfin's lack of earnings and high growth expectations.
  • Better investment alternatives, like low-risk Treasury Notes with 4.3% returns, make Redfin an unattractive choice until it turns a profit.

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Jonathan Kitchen

It’s been about 42 days since I announced to the world that, in my opinion, Redfin Corporation (NASDAQ:RDFN) remains troubled in an article with the monumentally original title “Redfin Remains Troubled.” Since then, the company has announced earnings, and the

This article was written by

7.28K Followers
I'm a quant investment newsletter writer who marries fundamental analysis with the latest research in momentum. Over the past few years, I’ve developed a piece of software that helps me track the level of optimism and pessimism embedded in stock price. I seek to challenge the assumptions embedded in price by profitably exploiting the disconnect between what the market thinks and what is a likely outcome. I invest in those companies that have a greater than average chance of giving us all a surprise in the next few months.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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