VanEck Semiconductor ETF: In A Holding Pattern

(8min)

Summary

  • I rate the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) as a Hold due to concentration risk, high valuation, and technical analysis suggesting near-term downside momentum.
  • SMH has a high P/E ratio of 60x, indicating stretched valuations, making it a poor capital allocation choice at this time.
  • Geopolitical risks, including potential tariffs and tighter controls on semiconductor exports, could negatively impact SMH's holdings and profitability.

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Introduction

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SMH) is a concentrated ETF tracking 26 of the largest semiconductor firms in the world. The ETF is essentially a bet on the secular growth of the chip industry, a

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Professional equity portfolio manager for a boutique buy-side asset manager.My focus is on finding high-quality companies, applying a disciplined approach to valuation and identifying underappreciated opportunities. My goal is to identify opportunities in cash-rich companies with strong balance sheets and shareholder friendly policies. I endeavour to incorporate a mix of quantitative and qualitative measures to identify opportunities in stocks. Long-only approach with a long-term investment focus.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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