Adobe Q4: Higher-Priced Firefly Subscription Could Be Coming

(8min)

Summary

  • Adobe reported an 11% constant revenue growth and 13% adj. EPS growth in Q4 FY24, with a lower-than-expected guidance for FY25.
  • I believe the broad availability of Firefly Video Model in early 2025, and the upcoming higher-priced Firefly subscription, could potentially accelerate its revenue growth.
  • Adobe is guiding for around 8.8% revenue growth and around 10.2% adjusted EPS growth for FY25, slightly lower than the market expectations.
  • I anticipate Adobe will deliver 10% organic revenue growth, comprising 7% market growth and 3% growth from newly launched AI solutions.

College student retouching a photo in an editing class

andresr/E+ via Getty Images

In my previous "Strong Buy" thesis on Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE) in September 2024, I discussed their Firefly Video Model. Adobe reported an 11% constant revenue growth and 13% adj. EPS growth in Q4

This article was written by

I am a growth-oriented investor, conducting fundamental research. Long-term focus, independent thinking. I prefer companies with deep moats and high recurring sales growth.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of ADBE either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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