LGI Homes: Future Remains Positive

Andrew Dvorak
117 Followers
(20min)

Summary

  • Macro conditions and higher housing costs continue to weigh on near-term demand, keeping LGI Homes' absorption rates lower than historical.
  • Over time, while their absorption rates may not grow much beyond 4x, they have a clear runway for continued community growth to grow sales and EBITDA.
  • Combining those two elements together, barring interest rates materially rising or another inflationary run, today's price offers a relatively attractive IRR.

Suburban house under construction in southwest Florida

kschulze

Introduction

LGI Homes (NASDAQ:LGIH) reported another okay quarter, but macro conditions (rates and housing costs) continue to weigh on demand, keeping absorption rates lower than historical levels, which is further exacerbated by their pricing strategy. At around $106/share today, however, I nonetheless continue to think go-forward

This article was written by

117 Followers
Former buy-side analyst.Fundamental, cash-flow based investing. Always open to sharing ideas/thoughts.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of LGIH either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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