John M. Chase
Introduction
A few days ago, I wrote an article about Delta Air Lines (DAL) and what smart money is doing to prepare for its upcoming earnings. Now, I will do the same with United Airlines Holdings (
United Airlines: Options Activity Clashes With Bearish Seasonality And Earnings History
Summary
- United Airlines had a stellar year with a 135% total return, outperforming the market significantly, especially in the second half.
- January is historically a poor month for UAL, with Q4 earnings often leading to negative 3-day % changes.
- Analyst ratings, insider transactions, and options market actions are crucial for understanding market sentiment ahead of UAL's earnings report.
- Despite recent gains, UAL's seasonality and earnings history suggest caution for the upcoming Q4 earnings.
- I think the earnings price movement will be smaller than expected, and I lean toward a slightly bullish stance.
I am a 25-year-old securities specialist working in private banking in Germany, with a longstanding interest in investing. My ability to analyze stocks has been honed through extensive research and the pursuit of several degrees, the titles of which do not translate well into English.My investment strategy primarily revolves around generating income from dividends or options trading. Additionally, I allocate a smaller portion of my portfolio to investing in small, highly disruptive companies to enhance overall performance. Outside of my banking and investment endeavors, I own a businesses which is an online shop catering to videographers, photographers, and production studios by providing essential equipment.
Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
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