eBay: Meta Ruling Unlikely To Break Market Share Decline

Caffital Research
1.64K Followers

Summary

  • eBay Inc. has decided to spend its earnings on share buybacks instead of R&D and other investments, leading to market share losses as Amazon and others have pushed ecommerce forward.
  • In a response to the EU's ruling against Meta Platforms, eBay listings are now allowed on Facebook Marketplace. The change could improve eBay's GMV, but I'm skeptical of the long-term impact.
  • Ad revenues have aided eBay's recent growth, but with continued capital allocation on share buybacks, the underlying GMV stagnation hasn't seen an end.
  • eBay stock already prices in low growth from the company, and an asymmetric risk-to-reward needs the GMV trajectory to change.

Browsing the ebay webpage on an ipad

ymgerman

eBay Inc. (NASDAQ:EBAY) operates a well-recognized online marketplace platform, gaining revenues through collecting fees on sales and with advertising revenues. In 2023, the platform's gross merchandise value (GMV) was $73.2 billion. Revenues were split between the U.S. with 50% of revenues, the U.K. with

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I am an avid investor with a major focus on small cap companies with experience in investing in US, Canadian, and European markets. My investment philosophy to generating great returns on the stock market revolves around identifying mispriced securities by understanding the drivers behind a company's financials, and ultimately, most often revealed by a DCF model valuation. This methodology doesn't limit an investor into rigid traditional value, dividend, or growth investing, but rather accounts for all of a stock's prospects to determine the risk-to-reward.

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