Qualcomm: Diversification Dialed In, But Q1 Earnings Could Drop The Call

Deep Value Investing profile picture
Deep Value Investing
4.27K Followers
(10min)

Summary

  • I see some upside for Qualcomm in 2025 if Samsung globally adopts the Snapdragon chipset for its Galaxy S25 lineup.
  • However, I'm concerned Apple's in-house 5G modems could reduce Qualcomm's revenue for the year if they integrate their own modems in the upcoming iPhone SE 4.
  • I find Qualcomm's valuation metrics compelling, with ratios trading below the sector median. Additionally, the company has a strong narrative, with plans to diversify its revenue streams.
  • I'll wait for Q1 FY25 results and guidance, as mixed signals on Samsung and Apple partnerships could trigger a selloff considering the price consolidation around the $150 support level.
Qualcomm Snapdragon MSM7227A

G0d4ather

I love narrative stocks, especially those where a company is shifting away from its main revenue stream in pursuit of something greater. It’s even better when the company has strong fundamentals and is trading at an attractive discount.

In my

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Deep Value Investing profile picture
4.27K Followers
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well, you can land a Jumbo on the spread and still have clearance for take-off. From time to time, I buy shares, mostly to not be categorized as a degen by my fellow investor friends, therefore the 50%-50% allocation. My timeframe tends to be between 3-24 months.I like stocks that have experienced a recent sell-off due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at the new lower price. This is how I often screen through thousands of stocks, mainly in the US, although I may own shares in banana republics. I use fundamental analysis to check the health of companies that pass through my screening process, their leverage, and then compare their financial ratios with the sector, and industry median and average. I also do professional background checks of each insider who purchased shares after the recent sell-off. I use technical analysis to optimize the entry and exit points of my positions. I mainly use multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts. From time to time I draw trend lines, taken for granted, in multicolor patterns. Note: I tried to keep my introduction as real, and authentic as possible. I dislike empty suits, high-level BS, deep-level BS, unnecessary jargon, and self-indulgent, third-person written introductions with an air of superiority.Thanks for reading my introduction!

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