Visa: The 2025 Investment Thesis And Key Debates Entering The New Year

Yuval Rotem profile picture
Yuval Rotem
3.75K Followers
(10min)

Summary

  • Visa is underperforming the market due to regulatory concerns and growth runway doubts, but these issues are expected to ease in 2025.
  • Visa's FY24 results were strong, with 11.7% revenue growth and 16% EPS growth, driven by robust payment volumes and cross-border transactions.
  • Value-Added Services and New Flows are underappreciated drivers, with significant potential to boost Visa's performance and market valuation.
  • Visa's current valuation is attractive, trading below Mastercard and historical averages, with a price target of $360 per share based on CY26 earnings.
American Express, MasterCard, VISA, Discover payment options sign

Michael Vi

As we've put a close on 2024, Visa (NYSE:V) (NEOE:VISA:CA) is in uncharted territory, trailing the market by about 5% over the past year.

Key concerns about the company include the size of remaining runway in consumer payments, and of course, regulation.

This article was written by

Yuval Rotem profile picture
3.75K Followers
I aim to invest in companies with perfect qualitative attributes, buy them at an attractive price based on fundamentals, and hold them forever. I hope to publish articles covering such companies approximately 3 times per week, with extensive quarterly follow-ups and constant updates.I manage a concentrated portfolio targeted at avoiding losers and maximizing exposure to big winners. This means that often I'll rate great companies at a 'Hold' because their growth opportunity is below my threshold, or their downside risk is too high.I'm an MBA graduate with L.L.B in law and I work as a financial analyst at a large pension fund.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of V either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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