FutureFuel: Fair Company At A Wonderful Price

Jan. 26, 2025 3:51 PM ETFutureFuel Corp. (FF) StockFF59 Comments
Rational Techne
383 Followers
(14min)

Summary

  • FutureFuel operates in a difficult, highly competitive industry.
  • The company's strong balance sheet and large cash position limits downside risks for investors.
  • FutureFuel has a long-term track-record of free-cash flow generation.
  • Valuations suggest an asymmetric risk/reward scenario meriting investor attention.

Hand with fuel nozzle with inscription BIO on a background of tank trailer with biofuel. Carbon neutral bio fuel decarbonization concept

Scharfsinn86/iStock via Getty Images

Potential Value Proposition

What if I told you there was a stock where you could pay $5.57/share, get $3.05/share in cash, and thus would gain an ownership stake in a business with an imputed business value of $2.52/share, where that business

This article was written by

383 Followers
I've been in the investing world for almost 10 years now, in which time I've garnered a lot of experience around what works and what doesn't. Over this period, one lesson that has impressed itself upon me is that you should really be looking for investment opportunities that "hit you like a 2x4-to-the-head with how obvious they are," to paraphrase Mohnish Pabrai. As a result of this, in my writing on Seeking Alpha, my goal is to be able to communicate ideas simply, as the investing game is already difficult enough. If I can't communicate a 'buy' recommendation, in particular, simply to you, that probably means I'm not doing a good job, and it may not be what I claim it is. In my own investing, I tend to be rather concentrated, oftentimes initiating positions at 5-10% of the portfolio. In fact, I'm not afraid to allow positions to be or become significantly larger than that, if the situation merits it. Early on, I was more into the "cigar-butt" approach of deep-value investing, but, over time, I've come around to the Munger approach of trying to buy wonderful businesses and holding onto them for a long time. In general, my hope is to hold a business for a very long time, and especially to never trim, no matter what percentage of the portfolio it balloons into. Put another way, I very much subscribe to the approach which says "don't cut your flowers and water your weeds." I don't claim to be an expert on most things, so when I go wrong, I will be looking forward to an education from the smart readers and participants of the SeekingAlpha community. Happy investing!

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of FF either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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