Atkore: Benefiting From Tariff Policies, But Will Wait

Feb. 24, 2025 11:55 PM ETAtkore Inc. (ATKR) StockATKR
Tomas Riba
652 Followers
(17min)

Summary

  • The recently announced tariffs will improve Atkore's competitive position.
  • Atkore might be approaching the low end of the cycle, with margins at pre-pandemic levels.
  • The company is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth in data centers, chip manufacturing facilities, and renewable projects.
  • The artificially inflated margins and management's overoptimistic guidance held me back from buying, but the stock price is approaching my target.

Color wires

Aslan Alphan

Introduction:

I've been following Atkore Inc. (NYSE:ATKR) for over two years now, and although I acknowledge the company has some great attributes, such as the high returns on capital, the tailwinds of the increasing electrification, and its buyback policy, there are

This article was written by

652 Followers
My passion for financial markets started at a young age, and I have been investing since 2007.Later on, I studied Economics and started as a buy-side equity research analyst. After studying for a Master’s Degree in Economic Analysis and working as an accountant, I assumed the position of CFO for a holding company that operates in pharma, medical devices, textiles, food industry, and real estate.My experience as CFO has helped me to understand the ins and outs of a company from the management perspective and some accounting tricks that are not taught at university, which now help me to dive deep into the accounting of the companies. I'm currently teaching "Derivatives for risk management" and "Investment analysis" at the Master's Degree in Financial Management (Open University of Catalonia).My mission is to identify the best quality companies with competitive advantages that can compound their cash flow exponentially and are trading at a fair price. I look for profitable businesses, operating in a growing sector, with high returns on capital, expanding margins, low debt, and management with skin in the game. I wish to provide my readers with a deep analysis where I explain the company's business model, the dynamics of the market, competition, financials, and management. Furthermore, I apply valuation measures (multiples and DCF) and qualitative analysis to determine expected growth and give readers a competitive advantage. Even if I look for the most recent developments, my investing approach is focused on the long-term in companies that can deploy capital at high ROIC for some years ahead.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in ATKR over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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