Will TeraWulf's HPC Bet Keep The Juice Flowing?

Mar. 04, 2025 10:07 AM ETTeraWulf Inc. (WULF) StockCORZ, WULF6 Comments
Deep Value Investing
6.86K Followers
(12min)

Summary

  • I believe the lack of clarity on Core42’s power extension before March 31, 2025 creates significant downside risk, despite management's confidence in finding other customers.
  • While HPC hosting could offer high EBITDA margins, I'm skeptical about near term improvements due to the lack of FY 2025 financial guidance.
  • Furthermore, management's goal of adding 100-150MW of HPC hosting annually lacks concrete expansion plans beyond the Cayuga site integration, making me question their ability to scale as projected.
  • If economic uncertainty and Bitcoin price weakness persist, I anticipate downward pressure on TeraWulf’s stock, making it unattractive within my short investment timeframe.
Equipment in server room

Erik Isakson

Since DeepSeek took everyone by surprise in January, TeraWulf Inc. (WULF) has seen its share price lose the positive upward trend it had been building since May 2024.

Volume broke records last Friday following Q4 and FY 2024 earnings, with more

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6.86K Followers
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well, you can land a Jumbo on the spread and still have clearance for take-off. From time to time, I buy shares, mostly to not be categorized as a degen by my fellow investor friends, therefore the 50%-50% allocation. My timeframe tends to be between 3-24 months.I like stocks that have experienced a recent sell-off due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at the new lower price. This is how I often screen through thousands of stocks, mainly in the US, although I may own shares in banana republics. I use fundamental analysis to check the health of companies that pass through my screening process, their leverage, and then compare their financial ratios with the sector, and industry median and average. I also do professional background checks of each insider who purchased shares after the recent sell-off. I use technical analysis to optimize the entry and exit points of my positions. I mainly use multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts. From time to time I draw trend lines, taken for granted, in multicolor patterns. Note: I tried to keep my introduction as real, and authentic as possible. I dislike empty suits, high-level BS, deep-level BS, unnecessary jargon, and self-indulgent, third-person written introductions with an air of superiority.Thanks for reading my introduction!

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