The Fed's Warning Was Louder This Time

John Bowman
4.39K Followers
(9min)

Summary

  • The FOMC's March statement came with a hold on rates, keeping the central rate at 4.25-4.5%.
  • The statement introduced a new warning to investors, and language that indicates the Fed is seeing more risk in the current macro environment.
  • There are several reasons for the Fed to hold rates, and even more for the Fed to keep rates steady through most of this year.
  • Despite this, the market is still pricing in two rate cuts. I believe the Fed is trying to temper the market for fewer or none.

Fed. Chair Powell Holds Monthly News Conference On Interest Rates

Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images News

Introduction

The last time the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee ("FOMC") met, back in January, they released a statement that I said was tempering folks for increased inflation, and a slowing of the proposed and expected rate

This article was written by

4.39K Followers
Investment advisor, research analyst, and economics educator from Southern California. I have an obsession with portfolio management, income investing, and alternatives. "History does not repeat, but it does instruct." — Timothy Snyder, On Tyranny

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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