February U.K. CPI: Cool February Inflation Counters The January Flare Up

MTS Insights
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(9min)

Summary

  • February's UK CPI inflation data came in below expectations, with headline CPI at 2.8% YoY and core CPI at 3.5% YoY.
  • Energy and food prices contributed to inflation, but energy remains deflationary YoY; food, alcohol, and tobacco prices are significant inflation drivers.
  • Services inflation remains the primary driver of core CPI inflation, especially housing cost growth which is near 30 year highs.
  • The Bank of England may remain cautious on rate cuts despite the cooler inflation data, with market reactions showing moderated gilt rate declines.

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After a hotter-than-expected UK CPI print in January, inflation data in February came in below expectations as it reversed the rise seen in the previous month. The headline CPI index was up 0.4% MoM and 2.8% YoY

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