The Tariffs Shock That Could Save The Market

(7min)

Summary

  • Tariffs announced by President Trump are higher than expected, and the market is pricing this in.
  • Contrary to popular belief, tariffs are deflationary, potentially leading to recession despite initial price increases in some goods.
  • But the US economy is strong, the real risk is a liquidity crunch due to low bank reserves.
  • Markets may benefit from reduced tariffs and increased liquidity from the Fed, presenting a buying opportunity for long-term investors amidst current market pessimism.
  • This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, The Pragmatic Investor. Learn More »

Transatlantic Clash: Wrecking Balls in American and EU Flag Colors

J Studios

Thesis Summary

Looks like tariffs weren’t priced in after all, with markets down big following President Trump’s Liberation Day announcement.

The proposed tariffs seem even higher than even bears would have expected, but I still believe there’s a

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This article was written by

23.36K Followers

James Foord is an economist by trade and has been analyzing global markets for the past decade. He leads the investing group The Pragmatic Investor where the focus is on building robust and truly diversified portfolios that will continually preserve and increase wealth.

The Pragmatic Investor covers global macro, international equities, commodities, tech and cryptocurrencies and is designed to guide investors of all levels in their journey. Features include a The Pragmatic Investor Portfolio, weekly market update newsletter, actionable trades, technical analysis, and a chat room. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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